Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 28.995651 33.427381 38.219722 43.775855 50.028415 56.835149 64.793722
2024-12-29 21.971325 28.237772 35.659916 45.042580 56.525124 70.053731 87.127297
2025-01-05 18.224231 25.520005 34.796384 47.323047 63.644219 84.019278 111.184943
2025-01-12 14.495135 21.901620 31.922755 46.246939 65.927383 91.711117 127.676757
2025-01-19 11.471288 18.593004 28.792029 44.136028 66.233638 96.433180 140.236958
2025-01-26 10.487142 18.001990 29.270977 46.933145 73.332908 110.622324 166.369871
2025-02-02 10.002558 18.059175 30.635818 51.056709 82.565531 128.332684 198.514788
2025-02-09 8.862009 16.865331 29.889561 51.817600 86.761585 138.966929 221.081035
2025-02-16 7.750591 15.535395 28.729701 51.736559 89.551148 147.576224 241.058317
2025-02-23 6.739259 14.216191 27.402415 51.188580 91.460876 154.849887 259.314075
2025-03-02 5.923783 13.126311 26.320570 50.898492 93.686565 162.652051 278.717230
2025-03-09 5.288205 12.281357 25.561650 51.057643 96.610427 171.660710 300.428421
2025-03-16 4.307618 10.620726 23.167531 48.182172 94.336256 172.459156 309.703003
2025-03-23 3.944817 10.212206 23.134694 49.688869 99.950498 186.855626 342.378279
2025-03-30 3.720094 10.070587 23.609953 52.200993 107.569965 205.136911 382.624651
2025-04-06 3.186663 9.115834 22.285830 51.033383 108.261153 211.417184 402.771912
2025-04-13 2.643937 8.025007 20.510592 48.732434 106.555317 213.266581 415.244332
2025-04-20 2.561893 8.086868 21.278837 51.782780 115.455674 234.753648 463.482411
2025-04-27 2.576427 8.406935 22.667841 56.275945 127.522731 262.693388 524.624523
2025-05-04 2.352607 8.033128 22.390070 57.104614 132.244333 277.209882 562.131948
2025-05-11 2.101650 7.530862 21.735203 57.016363 135.052806 288.239449 593.748524
2025-05-18 1.855084 6.987689 20.901235 56.419582 136.720004 297.125809 621.750208
2025-05-25 1.651348 6.531067 20.221842 56.103632 138.939822 307.176662 652.397112